徐海鑫,卢文钰,何忠伟 | 都市型现代农业视角下北京市农业保险与现代化协调发展研究

作者信息:

摘要:

为探究都市型农业视角下北京市农业保险与农业现代化的协调发展规律，为区域农业高质量发展政策制定提供依据，基于2013—2023年官方统计数据，构建含2个系统层、8个一级指标、25个二级指标的评价体系，运用熵值法、耦合协调模型及灰色关联法分析。结果表明：农业保险系统综合指数从低位逐步升至0.979 6，农业现代化系统综合指数先波动回落至0.336 8后稳步恢复；耦合协调度从濒临失调逐步提升至良好协调；灰色关联显示，赔付率、农险保费收入或赔付支出占比为关键影响指标。因此，提出优化精准定损、创新特色险种、建立多部门联动机制，推动两者深度协同。

关键词:

北京市; 农业保险; 农业现代化; 耦合协调; 灰色关联

Research on the Coordinated Development of Agricultural Insurance and Agricultural Modernization in Beijing from the Perspective of Urban-type Modern Agriculture

Abstract:

In order to explore the coordinated development law of agricultural insurance and agricultural modernization in Beijing from the perspective of urban agriculture, and provide a basis for the formulation of high-quality regional agricultural development policies, based on official statistical data from 2013 to 2023, an evaluation system consisting of 2 system layers, 8 primary indicators and 25 secondary indicators was constructed，using entropy method, coupled coordination model and grey correlation method. The results show that the comprehensive index of the agricultural insurance system gradually increases from a low level to 0.9796, while the comprehensive index of the agricultural modernization system first fluctuates and falls back to 0.3368 before steadily recovering. The coupling coordination degree gradually improves from near imbalance to good coordination. Grey correlation shows that the payout ratio, agricultural insurance premium income, or the proportion of payout expenses are key influencing indicators. Therefore, it is proposed to optimize precise loss assessment, innovate characteristic insurance types, establish a multi departmental linkage mechanism, and promote deep collaboration between the two.

Key words:

Beijing City; agricultural insurance; modernization of agriculture; coupling coordination; grey correlation

中国技术经济学会《科技和产业》编辑部2026年4月30日