The following GAIN reports were released on March 2, 2026.

Kazakhstan: Grain and Feed Update

Kazakhstan’s wheat and barley production are both forecast to reach near record levels in marketing year (MY) 2025/26. Export levels for wheat will approach last year’s record of 10.0 million metric tons (MMT), aided by the government’s transportation subsidy and a continued push amongst grain traders to diversify their export markets. Meanwhile, exports of feed flour – made from wheat and barley – to China have boomed during the first quarter (Sep-Dec) of MY 2025/26 and could reach as much as 3.0 MMT by year’s end. (Note: Feed flour exports are not included in the wheat and barley PSDs.)

Nigeria: Grain and Feed Annual

Wheat consumption is projected to increase to 6.8 million metric tons (MMT) in MY 2026/27, with imports estimated at 7.2 MMT, driven by a stable exchange rate and improved consumer purchasing power. Corn faces a challenging outlook with production expected to decline as farmgate prices dropped by 52 percent through December 2025 compared to the prior year. Corn imports are expected to increase due to lower production and a stronger naira, making imports more attractive. Rice production is forecast to decline seven percent to 8.3 MMT as input prices remain high, imports help maintain lower domestic prices, and producers switch to less input intensive crops.

Thailand: Grain and Feed Monthly

Thai rice export prices softened in early 2026 as stronger currency and intense competition from Vietnam and India, combined with slower seasonal demand, encouraged buyers to postpone purchases in anticipation of lower global prices.

The following GAIN reports were released on March 3, 2026.

Brazil: Livestock and Products Semi-annual

Brazil is the second-largest beef producing country and the largest beef exporting country in the world. Post expects decreased slaughter in 2026, due to the start of the reversion of the cattle cycle. Producers are likely to begin holding cattle from the market, driving calf prices upwards. Solid beef exports are forecasted for 2026, following record exports in 2025. Domestic consumption is forecast to slightly decrease, as producers will prioritize exports, driven by strong external demand, devalued local currency, and challenges faced by foreign competitors. The swine industry is expected to increase in both production and slaughter in 2026. As a result, Post forecasts increased pork production and domestic consumption, as well as record exports in 2026.

Italy: FAIRS Export Certificate Report Annual

This report is intended to supplement the FAS U.S. Mission to the EU's Food and Agricultural Import Regulations and Standards (FAIRS) Certificate report with Italy-specific information. The U.S. export certification requirements for most products of animal and plant origin destined for the EU and Italy have been harmonized. The few products not yet harmonized are subject to Italian regulations which can be found in this report.

Japan: Livestock and Products Semi-annual

FAS/Tokyo projects Japan's beef and pork sectors to remain stable in 2026. Cattle inventory and beef production face marginal decreases due to declining breeding cow numbers, though heavier wagyu cattle will allow for maintaining production levels. Beef consumption remains flat as retail sales decline from consumers shifting to cheaper proteins, but are offset by record tourist arrivals that increase demand in the food service sector. Beef imports remain unchanged, with potential U.S. market share gains as Australian prices are near parity with U.S. prices. Pork production, consumption, and imports also hold steady. High costs from the continuing weak yen and elevated feed prices discourage expansion. Despite Spain's ASF-related import suspension affecting 15 percent of imports, Japan will seek to diversify sourcing while maintaining stable total volumes.

Kenya: Kenya Implements Destination Inspection for US Goods

U.S. products arriving to Kenya now face mandatory conformity inspection on arrival to port. The Kenyan Bureau of Standards (KEBS) shifted U.S.-origin products from pre-shipment inspection to destination inspection following the expiration of their Pre-Export Verification of Conformity (PVoC) contract with the Société Générale de Surveillance (SGS). As of February 9, 2026, SGS no longer serves as KEBS's inspection agent for U.S. exports, leaving those functions to KEBS inspectors . With the change, KEBS also updated the inspection fee to 0.6 percent of the customs value (minimum $300, maximum $3,500). This change alters established compliance procedures for U.S. exporters and is likely to increase clearance times, documentation requirements, and port-related costs. The change was not notified to the World Trade Organization.

Malaysia: Budget for Malaysia 2026

Malaysia’s Budget 2026 was tabled on October 10, 2025, in the Malaysian Parliament against a backdrop of moderate economic growth, stable inflation, and renewed attention on food security and supply chain resilience. For 2026, the Ministry of Agriculture and Food Security (KPKM) received RM6.87 billion / USD1.76 billion, an increase of seven percent from the RM6.42 billion / USD1.64 billion allocated for 2025. KPKM allocated RM2.62 billion / USD671 million for agricultural subsidies and incentives in 2026, and paddy growers will receive the largest share of this amount. Together, these programs position the paddy sector as the single largest beneficiary within KPKM’s budget due to its role in national food security.

Taiwan: Food Processing Ingredients Annual

In 2025, Taiwan imported US$4.3 billion agricultural and related products from the US, which accounted for 23.7 percent of the island’s total import value. Its food processing industry produced $32.9 billion of processed food and beverages, among which the strongest subsectors are animal feed, butchery, meat processing, baked goods, and non-alcoholic beverages. Consumers in the super-aged market are increasingly attracted to healthy and safe products with added nutritional benefits, as well as convenient, single portion products to better suit the changing family structure.

Taiwan: Taiwan Import Inspections Overview

Taiwan operates a risk-based, three-tier inspection system for imported agricultural products, with intensity levels ranging from two to ten percent random sampling at the standard level to 100 percent inspection at the batch-by-batch level. A single shipment failure triggers escalation to enhanced inspection (20-50 percent selection rate), while a second failure results in 100 percent batch-by-batch inspection. Inspection procedures differ between food-grade products regulated by the Taiwan Food and Drug Administration and feed-grade products regulated by the Ministry of Agriculture. Testing methods are primarily adopted from U.S. FDA, USDA, and other international agencies. Failed shipments may be returned, destroyed, or in some cases undergo sequential container inspection to separate compliant from non-compliant products. Repeated failures trigger escalating consequences, including importer-level suspensions and potential country-level import suspensions affecting all U.S. exporters of that product type.

Ukraine: Poultry and Products Semi-annual

Post estimates chicken meat production and exports will increase in 2026 following the Ukrainian poultry industry's adaptation to war-related production issues. Post estimates decreased chicken meat production and exports for 2025 on industry-reported production and supply problems. Production declines affected Europe’s largest poultry producer, MHP SE, headquartered in Ukraine, as well as smaller producers targeting domestic markets. Ukraine’s exports to the European Union (EU) will remain robust but will be limited to the new tariff-rate quota negotiated in fall 2025. Growing chicken meat exports to the United Kingdom will continue, and it may surpass the Netherlands as Ukraine’s largest single country export market. EU markets will also remain export destinations of choice due to geographical proximity and premium prices. The Russia-Ukraine war remains the major production and trade risk in 2026.

The following GAIN reports were released on March 4, 2026.

European Union: Poultry and Products Semi-annual

Driven by strong internal demand and larger exports, and with fewer HPAI outbreaks, EU chicken meat production is expected to grow by two percent in CY 2026. In 2026, Poland will remain the largest EU chicken meat producer, accounting for more than 22 percent of total EU production. The EU trade surplus in chicken meat is expected to increase in CY 2026 as HPAI related bans are lifted and imports from Ukraine are increasingly constrained by EU policy and regulations.

Japan: Japan to Maintain the Butter and NFDM TRQs for JFY2026

Japan’s Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry, and Fisheries (MAFF) announced that the tariff-rate quotas (TRQs) for butter (8,000–10,000 MT) and non-fat dry milk (750 MT) will remain unchanged for Japanese Fiscal Year 2026. Butter demand is expected to remain robust, while NFDM demand continues to be stagnant. MAFF will closely monitor the butter supply in light of production uncertainties. The TRQ levels will also be reviewed in May and September. The Agriculture and Livestock Industries Corporation (ALIC) will continue to manage the TRQ tenders in accordance with Japan’s WTO commitments.

Netherlands: 2026 Dutch Seafood Industry Overview

The Netherlands is increasingly becoming one of Europe’s leading international traders of seafood products. The United States was the Netherlands’ 15th largest foreign supplier of seafood in 2024. U.S. exports were dominated by frozen Alaskan pollock (AP) which represented two-thirds of U.S. seafood trade to the Netherlands. Other products imported from the United States were wild salmon, flatfish, hake, cod, squid, and dogfish. Per capita consumption of seafood has decreased somewhat in recent years, driven by the fact that fish is mainly consumed by older consumers and is not popular among young consumers. Also, fish is bought less often, and fewer different species are bought. Sales through specialized fish shops are down while sales via fish stalls are up. Growth opportunities for U.S. seafood exporters can be found in the seafood processing industry and the higher-end HRI-foodservice industry.

South Korea: Oilseeds and Products Annual

The Republic of Korea (ROK)'s soybean crushing volumes are forecast to stay below both processing capacity and the three-year average in marketing year (MY) 2026/27, reflecting weak crushing demand due to favorable global prices for soybean byproducts. The ROK government announced that starting in 2026 they will discontinue voluntary add-ons to the food soybean WTO tariff-rate quota (TRQ) to promote domestic soybeans, resulting in market loss for U.S. exports. Soybean meal will remain the dominant protein source in compound feed production, though dried distillers grains with solubles (DDGS) are gaining market share. Soybean oil imports continue to rise, offsetting declining domestic crushing to meet demand for soybean oil as the primary edible oil in the Korean market. Shares of U.S. soybean oil continue to fluctuate based on export availability and increasing competition as Korean buyers diversify to new countries of origin for sourcing crude or refined soybean oil.

Tunisia: Oilseeds and Products Annual

Tunisian MY 2026/27 soybean imports are expected to reach 595,000 MT, compared to 580,000 MT in MY 2025/26 as demand for animal feed increases slightly with growing demand for proteins driven by a stronger tourism sector. Tunisian olive oil exports are forecast to drop to 240,000 MT in MY 2026/27, compared to 400,000 MT in MY 2025/26 reflecting the alternating high and low fruit bearing cycle of olive production.