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USDA农业展望论坛:2026/27全球产量减消费增 期末库存小幅下降

  • 2026-04-04 23:05:03
USDA农业展望论坛:2026/27全球产量减消费增 期末库存小幅下降

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中国棉花信息网专讯 正在进行的美国农业部（USDA）第102届农业展望论坛中，USDA对于本年度和2026/27年度全球以及主要国家棉花市场进行了梳理和展望，本网根据主要数据进行整理并发布。
2026/27年度全球棉花总产预期2526万吨，同比减少3.2%；全球消费量预期2615万吨，同比增加1.2%；出口量预期958万吨，同比增加0.7%。新年度全球期末库存因此减至1550万吨，同比减少5.2%。
2026/27年度中国棉花总产预期697万吨，同比减少8.6%；消费量预期856万吨，同比增加0.8%；进口量预期152万吨，同比增加25.0%。新年度中国期末库存因此减至784万吨，同比减少1.0%。
2026/27年度美国棉花总产预期296万吨，同比减少2.3%；消费量预期35万吨，同比基本持平；出口量预期266万吨，同比增加1.7%。新年度美国期末库存因此减至91万吨，同比减少4.5%。
从美棉种植情况来看，USDA预测新年度全美植棉面积5706万亩，同比增加1.3%，收获面积4632万亩，同比减少2.2%，弃耕率小幅上升2.9个百分点至18.8%，预计新年度单产同比持平在64公斤/亩。基于以上，2025/26年度美棉总产预期296万吨。

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编辑：韩宗良　　联系电话：01088086622-823

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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000943s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=h_mffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.001771s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000647s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000663s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.001330s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000562s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.001299s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 478147 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000947s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1775318162 WHERE `id` = 478147 [ RunTime:0.001439s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 64 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000656s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 478147 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001299s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 478147 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001007s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 478147 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.001717s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 478147 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.001668s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 478147 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.001920s ]
0.188653s