The following GAIN reports were released on May 28, 2026.
China: Dynamic Developments in China's Hardwood Market
China’s market for hardwood logs and lumber is undergoing a rapid transformation in response to U.S.-China trade tensions including tariffs and an 8 month ban on the U.S. log imports. These changes disrupted traditional supply chains, prompting a realignment of sourcing and processing strategies. Vietnam has emerged as a key processing hub, reshaping the flow of U.S. logs and lumber into China. Despite these disruptions, demand for high-quality U.S. hardwood remains strong, especially in China’s high-end furniture manufacturing sector. This report details those challenges and opportunities.
Japan: Japan Amends Food System Act to Promote Fair Pricing in Food Supply Chain
The Government of Japan amended the Food System Act in April 2026 to promote cost-based price formation in the food supply chain. Aiming to deter below-cost transactions, the amended Act establishes a framework for creating "cost indicators" that provide clear benchmarks for appropriate costs in price negotiations. The first cost indicator was created for rice. Cost indicators are not minimum guaranteed prices, and prices remain subject to negotiation between parties.
Japan: Japan's Proposed GHG Emission Values for Ethanol Derived from Additional Feedstocks
On April 17, 2026, Japan's Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) proposed default greenhouse gas (GHG) emission values for three additional ethanol sources. Currently, METI has established GHG emission values for U.S. corn and Brazilian sugarcane ethanol. The three new additions are ethanol derived from Brazilian corn, Thai sugarcane, and Thai cassava.
Japan: Japan to Transform Paddy Field Support Payments to Productivity-Based Support in 2027
Japan’s Agriculture Ministry announced a major transformation of its agricultural support system, shifting from the current paddy field support payment to productivity-based support for both paddy and upland fields starting in 2027. This represents a significant shift in Japan's rice policy, which has historically focused on maintaining paddy fields. The Ministry will extend the new support payment to table rice used for food service and ready-to-eat meals, intending to help domestic rice regain market share lost to imports in recent years.
The following GAIN reports were released on June 1-2, 2026.
Brazil: Coffee Annual
The outlook for Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee harvest is positive, especially for arabica coffee, driven by optimal weather in major growing regions. The anticipated record crop follows five years of low production. Coffee exports for MY 2026/27 are forecast to surge by 30 percent, supported by the expected bumper harvest. However, exporters remain cautious, holding back on deals amid low stocks and uncertainties around a possible El Niño event, which could affect the end of this harvest and the 2027/28 cycle.
China: Dairy and Products Semi-annual
China’s dairy sector continues to adjust under ample domestic milk supply, with production expected to remain broadly stable in 2026 as processors shift milk toward higher-value products such as butter and cheese. Weak retail demand and reduced use of reconstituted milk weigh on whole milk powder consumption, while foodservice and bakery expansion support steady growth in butter and cheese use. Post forecasts imports of WMP and SMP to decline due to weaker demand, while butter imports remain broadly stable and cheese imports increase to meet demand for higher-quality products. Whey demand remains firm, supported by feed and food applications, with China continuing to rely on imports despite short-term fluctuations.
Japan: Japan's Proposed GHG Emission Values for Ethanol Derived from Additional Feedstocks
On April 17, 2026, Japan's Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) proposed default greenhouse gas (GHG) emission values for three additional ethanol sources. Currently, METI has established GHG emission values for U.S. corn and Brazilian sugarcane ethanol. The three new additions are ethanol derived from Brazilian corn, Thai sugarcane, and Thai cassava. [FAS/Tokyo published the original report on May 28, 2026, but subsequently corrected an error in Table 1.]
Mexico: Tomatoes and Products Annual
Mexico’s 2026 tomato production is forecast at 2.6 million metric tons (MMT), a 9 percent decrease from 2025. This is mainly a result of the continued imposition of a 17 percent antidumping duty on U.S. imports of Mexican tomatoes, reduced profit margins for producers, and weather conditions. This reduction in production is expected to contribute to a forecasted 9 percent decrease in tomato exports to 1.8 MMT in 2026. The United States remains Mexico’s top export market for tomatoes, typically importing over 90 percent of Mexico’s exportable supply.
The following GAIN reports were released on June 4, 2026.
Kenya: FAIRS Country Report Annual
This updated report outlines the current legal framework, enforcement procedures, and agency contacts governing Kenya's food and agricultural import regulations. Beginning February 2026, Kenya no longer maintains a contracted pre-export inspection agent within the United States. Consequently, all eligible U.S. agricultural exports must now undergo mandatory destination inspections at Kenya’s ports of entry. Alongside this new inspection mandate, Kenya continues to enforce its long-standing ban on all genetically engineered imports.
Kenya: FAIRS Export Certificate Report Annual
This report outlines the certificates required by the Government of Kenya for U.S. food and agricultural exports. It complements the information found in the FAIRS Annual Country Report for Kenya. The Kenya Trade Network Agency provides a single online platform for importers and exporters to electronically submit certificates and receive approvals from relevant trade regulatory agencies.